Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.275107 1.523320 1.822814 2.215768 2.725273 3.374276 4.281352e+00
2024-12-22 0.885736 1.161900 1.540081 2.113654 2.995547 4.363539 6.789826e+00
2024-12-29 0.719310 1.009139 1.444927 2.185124 3.497049 5.927837 1.139745e+01
2025-01-05 0.603349 0.888949 1.349361 2.203443 3.904592 7.589630 1.803703e+01
2025-01-12 0.510290 0.779403 1.236421 2.143964 4.130073 9.048202 2.637589e+01
2025-01-19 0.444566 0.699859 1.153046 2.108211 4.384905 10.792263 3.914901e+01
2025-01-26 0.414613 0.674880 1.160399 2.256304 5.149237 14.725047 7.331566e+01
2025-02-02 0.384961 0.644515 1.149662 2.360570 5.869464 19.473588 1.391742e+02
2025-02-09 0.350745 0.599779 1.100297 2.357465 6.283707 23.701574 2.429927e+02
2025-02-16 0.317565 0.552108 1.035630 2.296564 6.486013 27.381989 4.042480e+02
2025-02-23 0.296712 0.525842 1.012422 2.339192 7.093517 34.673387 8.992108e+02
2025-03-02 0.281438 0.508677 1.006282 2.428447 7.961886 46.225270 2.803882e+03
2025-03-09 0.262690 0.482434 0.975867 2.442499 8.567541 58.351084 1.058841e+04
2025-03-16 0.240737 0.446896 0.917777 2.355604 8.667280 66.532811 3.975745e+04
2025-03-23 0.229990 0.434357 0.914132 2.445114 9.752845 92.925917 1.108164e+07
2025-03-30 0.217292 0.415948 0.892525 2.468050 10.528280 121.923118 NaN
2025-04-06 0.202186 0.390470 0.848668 2.399639 10.719492 143.221941 NaN
2025-04-13 0.189706 0.369768 0.814577 2.358399 11.075449 174.428071 NaN
2025-04-20 0.185996 0.368985 0.834236 2.529835 13.144232 298.793880 NaN
2025-04-27 0.180581 0.363534 0.840070 2.650824 15.074434 498.840958 NaN
2025-05-04 0.171797 0.349045 0.817808 2.647219 15.981114 699.356341 NaN
2025-05-11 0.161889 0.330917 0.782479 2.576530 16.203980 873.439917 NaN
2025-05-18 0.156005 0.322226 0.774083 2.626001 17.766327 1448.608739 NaN